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Hand of history: On the US election campaign trail

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Published Date: 02 November 2008
BY TRADE he is a car mechanic. But standing on the steps of the polling station after casting his vote for the US president, Will Moore is transformed into a preacher.
"Obama is speaking to my spirit!" he declares to anyone who will listen. "He's speaking to the people who're really needing him! I see the rich getting richer and the poor getting poorer! We're going in the wrong direction! People are hurting!" He pumps his fist in the air. "But no more!"

The 46-year-old African-American is visibly trying to calm himself down, but the pent-up emotion of the hour spent in a queue at the Electoral Commission building in Peoria, Illinois, just needs venting. "Obama's not about black and white," he says to me, eyes wide and arms outstretched. "He speaks to white people! He's winning because of the white vote! He's speaking to all of us!"

Like millions across America yesterday, Moore was taking advantage of advance voting ahead of election day on Tuesday. "I couldn't wait," he says, calming down a little. "I was like a little kid waiting for Christmas." He takes a deep breath, steadying himself. He can go home now. He's played his part. He has helped push Barack Obama towards the presidency of the US.

This weekend, Obama stands in the wings of history. The latest polls show the Democrat candidate with 50% of the vote, to Republican candidate John McCain's 43.5%. In the electoral college that ultimately determines who occupies the White House, the battleground states look safe for Obama and the votes are stacking up nicely.

Even in McCain's home state of Arizona, to which the Obama camp has unexpectedly taken the fight with TV ads, the Democrat has narrowed the gap to a little over four points. In the last three days, every vote is being chased, every state contested. "We want to win everywhere," said Obama.

As if the stakes weren't high enough, Obama raised them higher yesterday. Delivering the Democratic party's weekly radio address, he said: "If you give me your vote on Tuesday, we won't just win this election; together, we will change this country and change the world."

Unless the polls are wrong, Obama will be the first black president of the US, making an indelible mark on history. Yet for many Obama voters, that word – unless – is this weekend the source of anxiety as they ponder the imponderables.

Will some white voters balk at voting for a black man when they get to the booth, regardless of what they've been telling pollsters? And will the young people and African-Americans who have newly registered in their hundreds of thousands actually turn up to vote? If there's a two-hour queue, will they wait? What if the 'don't knows' – often older people who prefer to consider a whole campaign before making up their minds – fall mostly to McCain?

Democrats also fear Republican dirty tricks could still deny Obama the White House. In Virginia, where McCain was campaigning yesterday morning in an attempt to keep it Republican, leaflets had been distributed purporting to come from the state government, saying Republicans should vote on November 4 and Democrats vote on November 5. Obama supporters condemned it as a last-minute dirty trick by desperate McCain supporters.

In Iowa, Obama accused the Republicans of practising "slash and burn, say-anything, do-anything politics that's calculated to divide and distract; to tear us apart instead of bringing us together". He said he admired a presidential candidate who said in 2000: "I will not take the low road to the highest office in this land."

"Those words were spoken eight years ago by my opponent, John McCain," Obama said. "But the high road didn't lead him to the White House then, so this time he decided to take a different route."

Despite this, Obama said that, if elected, he would consider appointing McCain to "any position… where I thought he was going to be the best person for our country".

There was embarrassment for Obama, however, with the revelation that his aunt, a Kenyan who has been living in public housing in Boston, is in the US illegally after her request for asylum was rejected four years ago. Zeituni Onyango, 56, referred to as "Aunti Zeituni" in Obama's memoirs, was instructed to leave the US by a judge.

A statement by Obama's campaign said: "Senator Obama has no knowledge of her status, but obviously believes that any and all appropriate laws be followed." The campaign said it was returning $260 that Onyango had contributed in small increments to Obama's presidential bid over several months. Federal election law prohibits foreigners from making political donations.

Onyango is part of Obama's large paternal family, with many related to him by blood whom he never knew growing up. His father, Barack Obama Sr, left when he was two, and they reunited only once – for a month-long visit when Obama was 10. He first met his father's side of the family when he travelled to Africa 20 years ago.

Obama's campaign said he had seen Onyango a few times since that meeting, in Kenya and the US, but had last heard from her about two years ago when she called saying she was in Boston. He did not see her there.

Obama yesterday travelled to final get-out-the-vote rallies in Nevada, Colorado and Missouri, and was scheduled to campaign in Ohio all day today, including a Cleveland rally with singer Bruce Springsteen.

McCain has eight states on his final three-day itinerary, including a detour to New York last night to appear on Saturday Night Live hosted by Obama supporter Ben Affleck.

In a Peoria coffee shop, I speak to an old friend of Obama. Matt Jones is perhaps an unlikely pal of a would-be Democratic president – he's a Republican strategist for Illinois state. The two became friends when Jones was a lobbyist and Obama was a lowly state senator, and they worked together on a contentious law-and-order bill.

"It's an extraordinary thing that an African-American is days from the presidency," says Jones. "If Obama doesn't win, there will be a huge rift in this country, a feeling that the presidency was somehow stolen.

"The irony is that if Obama doesn't win, it will not be because Republicans don't vote for him. Regardless of whether he was black, white, purple or green, they weren't going to vote for him. If he loses, it will be because Democrats don't vote for him.

"The gut-wrenching feeling will be that we are politically and culturally divided. I would not be surprised to see rioting if Obama were to lose."

Jones, however, predicts an Obama victory – and an ideological change of course for the US: "What Barack represents in terms of policies could be much more dramatic than the fact of his race. I think our country is on the verge of a philosophical turn."

However, an Associated Press-Yahoo News poll yesterday revealed that one in seven voters, 14% of the total, are undecided or might change their minds. This election is not over.


Read Kenny Farquharson's US election blog

Scotland on Sunday's US election guide

Join Kenny from 9pm (UK time) today for an online chat about the US election. Add your questions or comments below – now – and visit here later today for the live discussion

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  • Last Updated: 02 November 2008 12:17 AM
  • Source: Scotland On Sunday
  • Location: Scotland
  • Related Topics: Barack Obama , US elections
 
1

Charles Linskaill,

Edinburgh 02/11/2008 00:20:59


I see from the News today (BBC), there has been some,..

...'Mud-Slinging' going around for "Obama", but all too late for that 'Tactic'!

I hope he makes it in the last few days to-go, and the desperado's, don't use their usual 'Tactic', to get 'Ridd'.
2

nolimits,

BC Interior 02/11/2008 01:29:27
Good Morning Charles: Yup, I agree.
3

Charles Linskaill,

Edinburgh 02/11/2008 02:05:30


nolimits ~3,

Thankyou, and Good Morning to you, I par on the reality of past Histories, and don't get carried away with the frenzies, albeit this may be a Negative attitude, it may be one that has Merits.

4

FS,

Stirling 02/11/2008 03:54:41
"Unless the polls are wrong, Obama will be the first black president of the US"

Kenny, are you seeing something I'm not? Unless the polls are wrong, Obama will be the first MIXED-RACE president of the US. Apologies for stating the obvious.
5

weeknocky,

Clarence 02/11/2008 04:11:04
If Sen. Obama is elected and I pray that he is not, he will the least inexperienced, first socialist leadr of the US. The rumor's abound about rioting in the streets if he is not elected. If he is elected I doubt there will be any rioting by anyone...doesn't anyone see a problem here.

If you don't live in the US you cannot fully understand the politics just as we cannot understand your politics, It always amazes me when I see comments from people living in the UK, Australia and some other European countries commenting on the political flks in the US.

6

,

02/11/2008 04:23:14
Comment Removed By Administrator
Reason:
7

Dave in the US,

St. Louis 02/11/2008 04:57:13
Change in politics is incremental. There may well be a change in direction, but everything won't, suddenly, be alright again. I'm voting for a new leader; one I can trust, one that will lead us in the right direction. Once headed there, it will take more time to accomplish massive change.

Please bear with us.
8

RightFun,

USA 02/11/2008 05:38:25
Obama is having a great time trying to convince everyone that with him as president - their worries will be over. The government will handle all their needs - pay their house payments, give them free health care, stop global warming and create peace in the world.

He is a highly disillusioned child who thinks he has magical charisma and the abilities of Santa Claus when it comes to granting everyone's wishes. Many of his supporters have the same illusion of him that he has.

Obama can't wave some magic wand and transform Putin into the Easter Bunny; transform Bin Laden into the Tooth Fairy; or the little Iranian twit into Jack Frost.

He will be worse than Jimmy Carter. Massive unemployment, high interest rates, and a reinstituting of the misery index. The enemies of the free world will have free reign to do as they wish.

Woe to America and the rest of the free world if he is elected. Not only will our freedoms be in jeopardy - but yours will be also.
9

okanaganguy,

kelowna, b.c. canada 02/11/2008 06:02:42
#10. Haven't heard him talk about bunnies,tooth fairies etc. but he has claimed that he wants to take the country in a new direction.Let's face it.The present state of the union has gotten to this point under G.W.B's watch.Mortgage interest rates and unemployment is up.Ask the millions of folks who stand to lose their homes what their "misery index" is.With Bush and Cheney gone, the U.S can perhaps start to improve their image globally.If Obama can bring the troops home from Iraq, he can save the U.S. taxpayer $10 billion/month.Let the Iraqis spend the $80 billion they are sitting on from oil sales to look after their own affairs.regards
10

Tweedmouth,

Coldstream 02/11/2008 09:01:42
I hope that Obama does win - but not because of any inherent qualities he posesses - like his undoubted oratory. He should win because the Republican party and its President are utterly corrupt and have bankrupted the country, allowed the destruction of the banking system, have fomented an illegal war that has killed millions of innocent Iraqi's and have enriched themselves and their friends beyond the bounds of sanity.

However, Americans voting for Obama because he is the new 'Messiah' is profoundly disturbing. Obama is not a prophet and he is not a Messiah. Politicians are motivated by self interest and there is plenty in Obama's background which reveals he has played hard and dirty in scrabbling to the Senate. He is just 'less' dirty and privileged than McCain. Americans should realise that one man cannot transform a country of 270 million people in four years - and the forces ranged against him if he tries to do so will be gigantic. Clinton tried to reform health care in the USA and failed completely; too many rich drug companies and provate hospitals intend to keep it the way it is.
11

The Strategist,

02/11/2008 09:11:27
I find Obama's wife a lot scarier than he is.
12

Media 1,

cape town 02/11/2008 09:11:42
Obama is not a messiah because messiah is nothing! It's just a word -
Obama is the NEW President in waiting - He is the NEW most powerful man in the world - He is the NEW dawn in American politics and thank goodness he is the one taking the reigns and not McCain...
Imagine another 4 years of a Bushesque brand of politics? No thank you - BYE BY BOMB BOMB McCain - AWAY AND RETIRE
13

albanman,

02/11/2008 09:36:37
No.29 Daniel. Couldn't disgree more about what you say regarding Bush Jr. How can war make the world a better place? I've the feeling you've never experienced being on a battlefield.

I do agree with you that both Obama and McCain are good candidates, but for different reasons. I also agree that Obama is the person for the job. People in the US have always looked for someone with vision to be president; it's part of the political philosophy.

The US is in a terrible financial state due to the Iraq War and the greed of financiers. Reagan left the nation with a huge deficit - turned into a surplus by Clinton (something Republicans never mention) - which was then turned into the largest deficit ever under George W. The US taxpayers will be paying out for many years.

As a person with dual US/UK citizenship, I'd like to say that folk in the UK are generally more informed regarding US politics than people in the US are about the politics of the UK - so, feel free to make comments.
14

albanman,

02/11/2008 09:38:57
One more thing: My real fear is that when he is elected, people will expect the impossible from Obama. The country is in a terrible mess, and he isn't a messiah.
15

bluehead,

edinburgh 02/11/2008 10:53:54
if what is on show is the best on offer then it won't be God bless America, it will be God help America,I wouldn't give any of the candidates for President of the united states a job selling balloons at jumble sale
let alone be running a country.
16

Richardinho,

02/11/2008 13:37:16
The Republican party has became the party that celebrates stupidity as a virtue, and fosters division and hatred in society.
On those grounds alone, I'd like to see them voted out of power.
17

,

02/11/2008 14:05:44
Comment Removed By Administrator
Reason:
18

The Strategist,

02/11/2008 15:37:28
I'm still astonished that his wife got away so easily with that comment about only being proud of her country now that a black man had become Democratic candidate.
19

Wally,

02/11/2008 16:15:32
here is an article that shows a path by which the republicans could win.

http://rawstory.com/news/2008/Documents_reveal_how_Ohio_routed_2004_1031.html

Ohio was 1 of the 5 states where in 2004 the exit polling did not match the official results. In each case the official results varied from exit polling in bush's favor. The pollster named Zogby issued a press statement on election day of 2004 saying that something is wrong with this and that he stands behind the exit polling that he & others did. The exit polling used to be 100% accurate. But in the last 2 election it is not always accurate. In 2004 it was accurate in 45 states, but not in the last 5 who all broke for bush in tight races with official resutls varying from the exit polling in bush's favor.

And now we ask why is it that the same company that took care of the White House e-mails also taking care of Ohio votes? You all recall that hundreds of thousands of emails sent by white house officials were lost by this company.

and here's an article about the other strategy (negative attacks) the republicans may employ at this late date.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/11/01/the-stench-run-republican_n_140056.html
20

Sandi,

San Diego 02/11/2008 16:58:22
From the article,

""If Obama doesn't win, there will be a huge rift in this country, a feeling that the presidency was somehow stolen"

In the way Obama stole the Democratic nomination?

This type of "journalism" is fear-mongering at best. We better elect Obama otherwise there will be trouble, riots in the streets, etc. etc. Sounds like a reason not to elect him, IMO and, well, he may not win. This race is not as clear-cut as the many "journalists" who kiss Obama's behind would have you believe. They are/have set it all up to look as though Obama's win is inevitable and any other result will be because of fraud. This is not the case.

Wally,

How you can post anything from the Huffington Post and expect it to be looked on as anything other than campaigning for Obama I don't know. That bunch have been in the tank for Obama since last year and they have lost any credibility they ever had.
21

Sandi,

San Diego 02/11/2008 17:03:57
Also, be aware that it is Obama campaign strategy to make the result look overwhelming and inevitable. This will supress the votes of people who would vote for McCain-why bother voting if it's so certain he's not going to win?

The Obama campaign's internal polling is probably telling them the exact same thing that the McCain internal polling is saying. That is that this race is very close and that McCain is likely to win. There are a lot of undecided voters and they will break for McCain.
22

scotia,

Caribbean 02/11/2008 17:43:38
Here in the Caribbean I am seeing the same reaction to Obama as to OJ's murder trial. Because he is black he should win and all black's must vote for him The same goes for the local politics, our current government is corrupt but that doesn't matter they will vote the same way all their lives regardless of what happens.

I hope he does not win as I do not believe he will be good for America or the rest of the world. He has an Aunt that is in the country illegally, will the first thing he does be to make her legal? Also how can you possibly say you are Christian and yet be brought up by a Father then step Father who are Muslims?
23

pringle4,

UK 02/11/2008 19:59:41
Kenny,
Whatever happened to objective reporting? I thought post Andrew Neil Scotland on Sunday was striving to be objective – now we have the newspaper lurching to the Left from the Right. I’m confused. A few early thoughts on the article and your blog:
1) Polls are notoriously inaccurate (see Hillary v Obama) 2) A vote against Obama doesn’t necessarily have anything to do with the colour of his skin 3) What has Obama actually said of consequence on the present economic turmoil?
I don’t much like the Republicans either but would like their side of the argument - occasionally.
24

Wally,

By The Rivers Of Babylon (USA) 02/11/2008 20:28:23
Sandi in 28: here is an article that is not from Huffington Post.

http://www.the-peoples-forum.com/cgi-bin/readart.cgi?ArtNum=6413

There is a long list of republicans who have turned out to be closet gay. Mitch McConnel who is 1 of the top Republican Senators, perhaps the minority leader now, is currently suspected.
25

Wally,

by the rivers of babylon (USA) 02/11/2008 20:42:26
gallup's poll taken very reently has Obama up by 10 points.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/111661/Gallup-Daily-Obama-52-McCain-42-Among-Likely-Voters.aspx

and Dick Cheney waited until the last minute to endorse Mccain.

http://rawstory.com/news/2008/Cheney_applauds_McCain_in_Wyoming_1101.html

but people are wondering if an endorsement from cheney will help or hurt mccain.
26

Midnight,

Edinburgh 02/11/2008 20:43:56
Am I the only one that is sick to death of hearing about the bl**dy american elections?
27

Kenny Farquharson,

SoS 02/11/2008 20:54:46
Hello!
I'm here in Washington DC, and for the next hour I'll be online here to debate the US election and my reporting in today's paper. In a moment I'll be responding to some of your posts, but feel free to chip in with new observations and questions.
In addition to the story written above, today's SoS also contains a much bigger piece from me on how Obama is playing in Peoria. You can findd it on..
http://news.scotsman.com/comment/-How-will-he-play.4652302.jp#3397979
28

pringle4,

UK 02/11/2008 20:59:13
Hi Kenny,

What is the view from the Republicans on the ground? I remember Gore v Bush when everyone in the UK press called it for Gore. Will this happen again? We can read Democrat sentiment from the BBC.
29

Kenny Farquharson,

02/11/2008 20:59:33
#31 Pringle 4

I don't accept at all that raising questions about Obama means SoS iss right-wing. The aim of this piece and the companion piece inside the papoer is to analyse hiss appeal, taking in its many strengths and also its weaknesses.

And yes, I agree, of course many people will vote for reasons other than the colour of his skin. Biut there will also be those for whom race is an issue - and some of these votes will be for him and some against.
30

Kenny Farquharson,

02/11/2008 21:03:41
#36 Pringle 4

The Republicans are publicly bullish but privately bleak. They're counting on two things - that a big turnout (they're expecting as many as 150m voters) will include large numbers of poor uneducated rural whites who rarely vote but who are more likely to back McCain; and they also believe the remaining don't knows are predominantly elderly people who are more likely to be McCain supporters and, crucially, are also very likely to vote. But there is an air of quiet desperation in the Republican camp.
31

pringle4,

02/11/2008 21:04:35
#37
Kenny,
I wasn't suggesting that SoS was Right wing, in fact quite the opposite. From the reports from the US it reads like the newspaper is 100% behind Obama. I am interested in sentiment "on the ground" not cheerleading for one candidate.
32

Kenny Farquharson,

02/11/2008 21:09:40
# 17 Albaman
"My real fear is that when he is elected, people will expect the impossible from Obama. The country is in a terrible mess, and he isn't a messiah."

I agree. I spoke to one Democrat official last week who said it was urgent that Obama, if he wins, picks one thing that can be done quicly and relatively easily, and show he can get results.

The party's concern is that so many of his policies will take many years - and certainly two terms.
33

Kenny Farquharson,

02/11/2008 21:14:32
It's just been announced that McCain is turning his tour tomorrow into a series of town hall meetings. This is a high-risk - it plays to his strengths (the town hall setting is where he shines as a debater and as a politician, and it shows off his people skills). But it puts him at the mercy of a stray question from a voter, at a time when consistency of message is paramount.
A sign of desperation? Or a master stroke?
34

Kenny Farquharson,

02/11/2008 21:21:08
# 6 FS
"Unless the polls are wrong, Obama will be the first MIXED-RACE president of the US. Apologies for stating the obvious."

One Democrat commentator I heard on a US news network thye other day said during a discussion on race: "He's as white as he is black." Which I thought was an interesting observation.
35

Kenny Farquharson,

SoS 02/11/2008 21:33:46
#33 wally
"people are wondering if an endorsement from cheney will help or hurt mccain"

Obama's latest radio campaign ad actually uses a clip from Cheney endorsing McCain and Palin (who he praises for her executive experience).

They want the take advantage of any link between McCain and the Bush presidency, which iss still deperately unpopular. Exploiting Cheney's central role in the Iraq war is a slam dunk for the Democrats at such a crucial time in the campaign.

Btw, Cheney looked awful - frail and slow. Not in good health at all.
36

Kenny Farquharson,

SoS 02/11/2008 21:42:21
Obama also got in on the act, using a speech in Springfield, Missouri, to sarcastically congratulate McCain on the Cheney endorsement.

A McCain presidency, he said, would be a third Bush term.

A moment ago in Florida, Biden also got in on the act. "It's not surprising - Dick Cheney has been wrong about everything else in the past eight years. He's on a roll!"
37

pringle4,

02/11/2008 21:43:22
Judging from the paucity of comment may I suggest a more impartial view in future? Scots dislike political subjectivity. In this case it's demeaning and naff to report through the prism of one side.
38

Kenny Farquharson,

02/11/2008 21:45:43
Latest from CNN...

The Republican Party of Pennsylvania launched a last-minute television ad that calls attention to Barack Obama's relationship with the Rev. Jeremiah Wright.

"If you think you could ever vote for Barack Obama, consider this: Obama chose as his spiritual leader this man," the ad's narrator says before clips of Wright's controversial statements are shown.

"Does that sound like someone who should be president?" the ad asks.

http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/11/02/campaign.wrap/index.html
39

Kenny Farquharson,

02/11/2008 21:47:45
# 45 Pringle 4

Scots like someone to tell it like they see it, which is what I've done and will continue to do.

40

pringle4,

02/11/2008 21:51:41
For the record I am not a Republican or Democrat just someone who enjoys politics and has followed it through the pages of SoS for many years.
41

Wally,

By The Rivers Of babylon (USA) 02/11/2008 21:53:11
Kenny,

here is a clip of cheney recently endorsing mccain.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YGcM6MPqVM0

that is very interesting info you provided that Obama includes audio clip of this in one of his radio ads now. i think it curious that Cheney waited so long to endorse. and now at the last minute this video clip of him may help obama.

Cheney's health is not good we've been told. our country is so bitterly divided that some people will rejoice his demise.
42

Kenny Farquharson,

02/11/2008 21:55:58
I'm logging off in a mo, so thank you very much for your comments. If you'd prefer to get in touch with me privately by email, you can get me on kenny.farquharson@scotlandonsunday.com

You can follow my reporting of the US election on my blog...
http://www.scotsman.com/CustomPages/CustomPage.aspx?PageID=76052

And of course, you can read my coverage of the election result and the new American politicial landscape in next week's Scotland on Sunday.

Hope to have you along with me.
43

WL,

livingston 02/11/2008 22:37:10
#10
I think youb are right. I do not think that O'Bama (Obama) is the right person for the job. But it is for the U.S. people decide. Just hope they will do the right thing.
44

Englebert Humperdinck,

Here and there 09/11/2008 03:44:43
#11 Are you taking the p!$s? Your having a laugh right? The world a better place? The world is certainly a more dangerous place than it was before the Iraq war with the erosion of everyones freedoms because of that and the paranioa that Gee Dubya and his cronies suffer from. He took a war to a country no one even heard of before in the US or did not know where it was. I just hope Mr. Obama can reverse all the damaga America has done around the world and make it a safer place.

 

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