Help Sitemap Home Skip Navigation Contact Us Disability Statement

 
 
Sunday, 17th August 2008 Change Date

Free Map of Scottish Castles

Premium Article !

Your account has been frozen. For your available options click the below button.

Options

Premium Article !

To read this article in full you must have registered and have a Premium Content Subscription with the Scotland On Sunday site.

Subscribe

Registered Article !

To read this article in full you must be registered with the site.

Credit crunch leaves glut of unsold homes



Click on thumbnail to view image
Click on thumbnail to view image
Click on thumbnail to view image
Click on thumbnail to view image
Click on thumbnail to view image

Published Date: 20 July 2008
THE number of unsold properties on the Scottish housing market has reached unprecedented levels because of the current mortgage squeeze.
Property agents across the country are reporting record levels of homes for sale on their books but a chronic shortage of buyers. Not only are transactions down by up to 50% in some areas but the time being taken to conclude deals has also extended b
y several weeks.

Solicitors Property Centres in Edinburgh, Tayside and the Highlands – which together have more than 8,000 homes on the market – say sellers are still registering their properties. But buyers are being hampered by the reluctance of banks to grant mortgages in the current economic climate.

They are also shopping around more and for longer periods because of the amount of properties on the market and the lack of competition. Meanwhile sellers are becoming more reluctant to sell because their homes are not attracting the double-digit premiums they were a year ago.

One property website, Rightmove, has coined a new phrase for the phenomenon – "brickormortis." This is the paralysing condition caused by sellers refusing to lower prices as they don't accept their home's saleable value.

There are also signs that buy-to-let investors, who bought flats in a rising market with the hope of making substantial capital gains, are now selling their properties to reinvest their money elsewhere in the financial markets.

In Edinburgh, the Edinburgh Solicitors Property Centre, which covers east-central Scotland, says it has 2,000 more properties up for sale than it did at this time last year.

Business analyst David Marshall said: "We have around 6,200 on the market now compared to 4,100 at the same time last year.

"The number of properties coming on to the market is the same as usual, whereas the number of properties selling is markedly down, by 40% in May and 50% in June.

"Six thousand is the highest figure on record. We have never had such a large selection. It's about 1,000 higher than in 2005, which is when we saw the last peak in property coming on to the market."

Marshall said: "The availability of credit is far more restricted than last year. Also, a lot of buyers are taking a wait-and-see attitude. They are making lower bids in the knowledge there are many other properties on the market they can go for.

"Also premiums are down so sellers are not willing to accept a lower price. It's a stand-off."

Marshall added. "It is taking two to three weeks longer to sell which is a significant amount of time when you are involved in a house purchase."

In the Highlands, a spokesman for the Inverness-based Highlands Solicitors Property Centre said it had 920 properties advertised.

"That is a lot more than usual and the most we have ever had at one time – or at least close to it – because properties are not shifting as quickly as they were. It took a while for the effects (of the credit crunch] to reach us but it is getting to us now. Properties are on the market longer and prices are dropping. There are lot of fixed prices around."

At the Tayside Solicitors Property Centre, there are more than 1,900 properties for sale, twice as many as the same time last year. "Properties are not moving as quickly and a lot of this is down to the lending situation," said manager Helen Wyllie.

"We have a lot of flats on the market at the moment with buy-to-let investors trying to sell so that they can invest in something else."

Wyllie said market conditions were now "completely different". "Nine months ago, buyers were so plentiful that sellers were getting decent premiums above the asking price. There are more fixed prices now, which are a more realistic reflection of values."

The Glasgow Solicitors Property Centre said it currently had 4,180 properties on its books. A spokesman said: "There probably are more than normal but it is not exceptionally high because of the summer holidays."

Glasgow estate agency Clyde Property said it was helping to reduce surplus properties by letting them out. Chairman Bill Cullens said: "Last year we had 1,500 let and managed properties – today we are sitting on over 1,800."

Estate agents confirm there are twice as many properties on the market across most regions than a year ago. David Alves, property manager at Sturrock, Armstrong & Thomson, said: "Sales have slowed right down because mortgages are being rationed.

"There is now an accumulated backlog of homes for sale with some on the market for up to six months, compared to seven or eight weeks last year."

Some sellers were still expecting unrealistic offers based on premiums witnessed during the former boom. "Buyers are absolutely spoiled for choice so the solution is for people to trim their prices a bit."

Property agents and housebuilding companies are calling on the Government to ease conditions for first-time buyers by providing financial assistance and by scrapping or reducing punitive stamp duty.

The latest figures for UK mortgage approvals – 43,000 in May – were the lowest monthly total since 1976.

"The Government should abandon stamp duty, although it probably won't because it is strapped for cash," Alves said.

"The Treasury recently loaned the banks £50m to improve liquidity in the system and then loaned them some more. Unfortunately, none of that appears to have gone into the mortgage market. The banks are hanging on to it."

'Walled paradise' lost after bank repossesses country estate

IT WAS sold as a walled paradise just a few miles south of Scotland's capital. When businessman William Carrington paid £2.25m for Middleton Hall in 2004 he was buying one of the country's best small country estates with a classical A-listed mansion at its heart.

But the estate is now back on the market after being repossessed by Halifax Bank of Scotland.

Middleton Hall, an 18th-century house near Gorebridge, Midlothian, which has 113 acres of grounds surrounded by a 10ft tall protective wall, was purchased by Carrington and his American wife Anne to fit in with their international horse-breeding business.

However, various attempts by the California-based Carringtons to sell their Scottish family home since 2005 – one agent said they disliked the Scottish climate – have failed. At one stage, during the boom in the Scottish property market, it was offered in the US for £13.5m although that had dropped to £4.3m by 2006.

It is now on the market for a relatively modest £2.9m after repossession by the bank last month. A notice attached to the building last week said the Carrington's had been "ejected" from the premises on June 23 by a sheriff officer based in Glasgow.

The house has six bedrooms, a galleried reception hall, an ornate dining room, music room, library and billiard room and a separate stable block. There are also three lodges and a self-contained flat. But the once-immaculate ornamental gardens and Victorian pond are now overgrown after six months of neglect.

The estate has been placed on the open market by Edinburgh property agents Rettie. Selling agent James Whitson said: "We are acting for the bank which repossessed it last month. It has been on the market for the last year but it is now sensibly priced. There is now the opportunity for someone to buy a fantastic house."

The Council for Mortgage Lenders said the repossession rate is going up throughout the UK with 45,000 properties expected to go through forced sales this year after defaults on mortgages.

One property insider said: "It is unusual for a property at this top end of the market to be repossessed but it does happen."



The full article contains 1307 words and appears in Scotland On Sunday newspaper.
Page 1 of 1

 
1

Fifi la Bonbon,

20/07/2008 00:50:47
"The Government should abandon stamp duty, although it probably won't because it is strapped for cash..." said some estate agent type.


The Government should NOT scrap stamp duty. All that would do is allow greedy sellers to mantain the profits they wrongly think they deserve, at a cost to the taxpayer, nearly all of whom are not selling their houses.

House prices are at last falling to slightly mote reasonable levels after the stupid rises in recent years, often fuelled by buy-to-let landlords. Sellers should absorb this themselves. If they want to sell, they need to charge a price that buyers are prepared to pay. If they are selling to buy somehere else it won't matter because they will buy for a reduced price too.

The only ones who will feel the pain are people who don't need to buy a new home for themselves, like buy-to-letters, for whom no sympathy is needed or deserved.
2

Charles Linskaill,

Edinburgh 20/07/2008 01:25:58

This is all,..'Age Old History' repeated!

"Don't put all your eggs, in one Basket"!

Do I 'Weep'?

GET REAL!, 'NO I DONT WEEP'!

Anyone with the slightest of intelligence would of known about this, but the 'Greed' makes people make unwise decision's.
3

Evia,

20/07/2008 01:45:36
This is what happens when people feed their greed instead of their need.
4

Guga II,

Rockall 20/07/2008 03:16:13
#3 Evia. How very true.
5

11+failed,

the pans 20/07/2008 08:03:09
With even ESPC slowly coming round to reality this is now a good time to buy a home. Just make sure to buy at 20% below the "Fixed Price" at which about 70% of homes with ESPC are now advertised.
6

11+failed,

the pans 20/07/2008 08:24:30
"Business analyst David Marshall said: "We have around 6,200 on the market now compared to 4,100 at the same time last year."
I wonder what business Mr Marshall analyses?
I have just done a search on ESPC for any property over £100,000, the result? "Your search returned 8518 properties".
So I tried £60,000 result "Your search returned 10304 properties"
Difficult to fathom the basis of "around 6,200". Perhaps Mr Marshall was talking about last week?
7

FC Barcelona,

20/07/2008 08:25:56
no 5, tried your idea about buying at 20% below fixed price ..... it didnae work, no-one sold, so whit do i do now?
8

11+failed,

the pans 20/07/2008 08:37:00
7
Be patient and remember Robert the Bruce!
Seems Mr Marshall only looks at properties over £135,000. "Your search returned 6442 properties"
9

Pocket Dictionary,

20/07/2008 08:40:47
As Gordon Gekko discovered - Greed is not good.

The reason they are hanging off for an obscene amount of money is to pay for living beyond their means.

Sorry people, Elvis is dead and your house ain't worth the asking price.
10

Mcsnagpile,

20/07/2008 13:03:29
Where are all the reduced price houses? I keep watching the property section but so far no cut price bargains. Take 50% of the price of your hoose and I will be out there to a band playing. Prices are static or fixed price but no bargains--heck. A’ll even have a half price ButnBen in the heelands.
11

The Former Mr. Angry,

Perth 20/07/2008 13:38:14
#10 Mcsnagpile

Long selling times, sellers in denial about prices reducing. Buyers can't get mortgages so easily. It's now just a matter of time and basic economics. If excess supply causes a buyers' market prices will inevitably reduce. Reality will eventually hit home!

And the reality is that house values have been grotesquely inflated on the get rich quick principle and by BTL and other property speculators. Your main asset in buying a bargain is patience!
12

joppa jock,

Huntingdon 20/07/2008 13:41:00
#10 If you're looking for reduced prices I suggest you move south. There's no such thing now as offers over, it's offers under with prices down between 10 and 20% on last year. The flow of wealthy property sellers moving to Scotland from the south is no more so don't expect Scotland to maintain high prices.
13

Nebulous,

Nebulous 20/07/2008 14:36:03
Sit tight #10. This has only started. There's a report by a leading banker on Teletext today saying property prices will fall for the next two years.

We're still at a standoff at the moment but we'll soon be at a point where sellers are trying to undercut each other.
14

Neil,

Glasgow 20/07/2008 14:45:36
If new houses cost 25% of what they do, as they would without government intervention, I guarantee they would not remain unsold.
15

A Friend of Fernando Poo,

20/07/2008 15:30:24
It's now a done deal that the Halifax House Price Index will be down between 17% and 21% by Christmas. With inflation headed for 4% to 5% by then, that will be real house prices down by a quarter in 2008.

In 2009 things will be worse as retail starts laying off large numbers of people. There was a huge buildup of retail space, and thus of retail employment to service the credit bubble. Now that will retrench. Unemployment will lead to more mortgage defaults and put the banks in yet more trouble. Mortgages will be more scarce next year and house prices will fall faster.

It's hard to see a scenario where real house prices aren't down more than 50% be end 2009 and at least 40% down in nominal prices.

We don't know how things will go in 2010 and 2011, but it's entirely possible that the credit bust won't be over and that we'll see yet further drops in house prices.

I've believed for a while we'd see the 75% to 90% drops in house prices that Japan has seen in its credit bust. It's now becoming clear how exactly that can happen here.

In short: save your cash and wait. House prices are going to go back nearer to where they were when the credit bubble started in 1983. There may be no mortgages when this ends in 2012 or so, but those who've saved cash will have a huge number of houses to choose from.
16

Teamdroid,

20/07/2008 16:39:55
1 - I agree stamp duty shouldn't be scrapped, but it should become a progressive tax like income tax. Currently a house sold at 249k is taxed at 1%, but a house sold at 250k + a penny is taxed at 3% on the full price. Only the amount above the threshold should be taxed at the higher rate, as with income tax. The current structure creates an uneven market.
17

Balliol II,

Dunbar 20/07/2008 18:18:39
#1 - The one trouble with your prejudice against people who 'buy-to-let' is that it is they who are filling the need of those who need a home but cannot afford to buy one. There is no divine right to own a house. It is very nice if you can but renting always used to be the way in which people started their own homes.
18

Balliol II,

Dunbar 20/07/2008 18:20:23
#1 - The one trouble with your prejudice against people who 'buy-to-let' is that it is they who are filling the need of those who need a home but cannot afford to buy one. There is no divine right to own a house. It is very nice if you can but renting always used to be the way in which people started their own homes.
19

,

21/07/2008 07:16:57
Comment Removed By Administrator
Reason:
20

Highland Property Bubble,

Inverness 21/07/2008 08:23:37
These figures confirm the dire state of the UK property market as the largest asset bubble in this country's history finally bursts.
A crash not dissimilar to the one experienced in Japan in the early nineties is now looking extremely likely with a 50-75% fall in valuations.
One must feel sorry for those who are stubbornly holding out with asking prices close to last year’s market highs. In short, they haven't a hope of realising such profits.
Buyers should hold onto their deposits and prepare to enter the market a few years from now once prices have adjusted.
21

espc,

21/07/2008 09:01:05
#6 & #8

The figures quoted by Dvaid Marshall of ESPC relate to properties which have been registered with ESPC. However, the figures you are quoting from espc.com include properties which are registered with GSPC. The search facility on espc.com also allows you to search gspc properties. If you were just to search on Edinburgh, Lothians, Fife and Central - your search results will be similiar to the figues quoted by David Marshall (however there may be some duplication in the Central region).
22

ip,

edinburgh 21/07/2008 10:28:03
the estate agents have scored an own goal. They gave us all the bs about edinburgh being special and prices not dropping here. So sellers are not accepting lower prices, buyers are not getting credit (mortgages) and estate agents are not getting commission. Serves the liers right!

 

Comment on this Story

 

In order to post comments you must Register or Sign In

 
 
 
  

 
 

Featured Advertising



Sister Newspapers:
Press Complaints Commission

This website and its associated newspaper adheres to the Press Complaints Commission’s Code of Practice. If you have a complaint about editorial content which relates to inaccuracy or intrusion, then contact the Editor by clicking here.

If you remain dissatisfied with the response provided then you can contact the PCC by clicking here.