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Future of the space station up in the air

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Published Date: 10 December 2006
ONCE again, the space shuttle Discovery is due to blast into space and dock with the International Space Station.
Astronauts are planning to continue the process of building the half-completed orbiting laboratory in a mission full of daunting challenges.

But the majesty of the first night-time liftoff in more than four years, rescheduled a number of times, t
he last being the early hours of today, will not dispel a question that is increasingly being asked in the United States: what is the space station for?

In 1998, when its first components were launched as a replacement for the Mir, a worn-out Soviet-era relic, the station was billed as a manned science lab of nearly unlimited potential, with promises of advances in areas such as pharmaceuticals thanks to the ultra pure crystals that could be grown in a microgravity environment.

It was to be finished by 2004, and it was to cost about $40bn, shared by 16 nations, including the US, Canada, Russia and the European Union.

Those goals are barely recognisable now. As the Columbia catastrophe forced a two-and-a-half-year delay in construction and cost overruns and changing presidential administrations forced Nasa to rethink its entire science mission, the station's price tag has ballooned to $100bn and the completion date has moved to 2010.

And questions about the station's scientific value have grown sharper than ever. David Goldston, the departing chief of staff for Congress's Science Committee, said that Nasa now seemed more motivated by the need to satisfy its commitments to international partners than by any compelling scientific objectives. "I've never heard anyone say, 'We have to do this because it's important for the future of the US space programme or science'," he said.

Nasa is now focused heavily on building a new generation of space vehicles for exploring the Moon and Mars; last week it announced plans to establish an international base camp on the Moon by 2024.

But officials insist the station is essential for researching the potential effects of prolonged weightlessness on astronauts: a round trip to Mars would take at least two years.

However, the agency has also sharply cut back plans for scientific experiments.

Nasa also faces a tight deadline: completing the station by 2010, when the agency is planning to retire the shuttle fleet. The next generation of vehicles will not be ready before 2014, leaving the station to rely on Russian and European space programmes, and potentially on entrepreneurs partly financed by Nasa.

Nasa's administrator, Michael Griffin, has said

that the need to complete the station and to develop a new space fleet has meant

science work in orbit had to be narrowed, with a tight focus on conducting scientific work that can help Nasa keep astronauts healthy on long missions to the Moon and Mars.

Experts say that in zero gravity, astronauts suffer from osteoporosis at a rate 10 times that of postmenopausal women. On a trip to Mars, 40% of them would lose more than half of the bone mineral in their hips, according to James Pawelczyk, an assistant professor of physiology at Pennsylvania State University and a former astronaut. The returning astronauts would have hips as delicate as eggshells.

Muscle mass also declines, and efforts to prevent the process have not been very successful, said Julie Robinson, the acting manager of science projects for the station programme.

Outside experts have had reservations about the shift. The National Research Council said Nasa lacked a strong plan for scientific research or for use of the space station "in support of the exploration missions".

The increasing emphasis on the next step has left many experts worried that the laboratory is being treated like an albatross, to be cast aside as quickly as possible. "Low-earth orbit" - the station orbits 220 miles above the Earth - "should not be abandoned in favour of going to the Moon and Mars," said Jeff Bingham, the staff director for the Senate Commerce subcommittee on science and space. "We're sort of saying, not too fast."

Bingham says the station is half finished and has half the six-member crew that the fully completed station is designed to support. "It's not a space station that is or should be expected to be producing anything of any significance by now," he said.

But some scientists say the new focus on the Moon and Mars has done great damage to their field.

"Since 1990, Nasa has spent literally billions of dollars building up a world-class microgravity programme that has been basically squandered," said Peter Voorhees, a professor of engineering at Northwestern University. "There's a perfect example of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory."



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  • Last Updated: 10 December 2006 12:30 AM
  • Source: Scotland On Sunday
  • Location: Scotland
  • Related Topics: Space science
 
1

Paul Voltaire,

www.paulvoltaire.spaces.live.com 10/12/2006 03:29:54

In zero gravity it has been proved scientifically that the hips don't lie.

2

Rubbersnap,

10/12/2006 09:48:09

ONCE again, the space shuttle Discovery is due to blast into space and dock with the International Space Station.

Er ... it already did ... in the early hours of this morning UK time.

Jeez SoS ... can't your hacks report anything right???

3

Neil,

9% Growth Party 10/12/2006 14:30:16

The bottleneck is not the space station it is the lift vehicle into orbit.The shuttle was originaly sold as well "shuttle" going up every few days & therefore costing more like an aircraft than a one shot spacecraft. It has absolutely failed at that - Saturn rockets would be cheaper per £ to orbit, Soyuz is much cheaper now & what is up there relies on Soyuz.

In energy terms once you are in orbit you are half way to anywhere in the galaxy. Use a decent X-Prize to fund building a real shuttle & the universe is our oyster.

4

Arthur,

10/12/2006 15:19:23

Neil it has never been my displeasure to read so much
technical inaccuracy as is embodied in your ill informed misconstruction
About the only truth is that the Shuttle itself is a bottleneck. It was never envisioned that the shuttle would fly every few days, originally four were planned
the return to flight turnaround time is months not days
therefore there was only ever going to be a maximum
of four to six flights per year.
Saturn rockets were abandoned becuase of their cost
the shuttle was developed as a more cost effective
and larger payload launcher.
what does your statement about being halfway to anywhere mean, absolutly nothing as far as I can see. So your in space and that has taken the largest share of your fuel, it still takes fuel to accelerate
yourself to a reasonable velocity to get anywhere.
Soyuz is used as one emergency escape capsule
the russian launches are aboard a proton rocket and
are provisioning launches. And it is a costly bird to fly.

5

Neil,

9% Growth Party 10/12/2006 17:38:36

You should get out more Arthur.

It WAS originaly advertised as having the regularity of a "shuttle".

"The space shuttle had evolved from a dedicated crew transport to a brawny, all-purpose vehicle that would be so busy hauling the nation’s civil, military and commercial payloads that it would have to fly some 50 times a year. At the start of 1971, NASA told the White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB) that it could build such a fully reusable two-stage workhorse for $10 billion. OMB told NASA it could have $5 billion"

http://www.space.com/spacenews/businessmonday_050815.html

The "shuttle" IS more expensive to launch than Saturn, primarily because it takes 23,000 people on the ground to launch it - Ryanair has about 19. (Also Saturn can carry a much heavier payload)

"Reach low orbit and you're halfway to anywhere in the Solar System."

- Robert Heinlein (you may have heard of him)
https://ideotrope.org/index.pl?node_id=23505

The meaning of this is that the potential energy change of going from ground level in Earth's gravity to low orbit is the same (actually somewhat greater than) the energy change in reaching anywhere in the system If anything this is an underestimate because on the ground we need a vehicle that uses its power with more speed than efficiency whereas once in orbit you can use efficient low powered stuff like ion engines which can keep up a gentle push for months. Do you understand now?

The Russian rockets are relatively cheap, mainly becuase they are using a production line that has been in place for decades & because they have less bureaucracy. This is how Russia manages the world's 2nd largest space effort on $900 million while NASA needs $16 billion.
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